is adam wainwright a hall of famer is adam wainwright a hall of famer

Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. Even though three different physical problems were cited to explain Wainwrights plummeting velocity and ineffective pitching? Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. Were just giving him a little extra time in between appearances to rebound from his first time out. I want to confine my results to the integration era, as, while this whole exercise is based on some level of silliness, I dont think asking Adam Wainwright to win 40 games and pitch 400 innings is particularly fair. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onSt. Louis Cardinals and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Verlanders resume is impressive; hes led the league in strikeouts four times, wins twice, won a pitching triple crown, and thrown two no-hitters. Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. Hall of Very Good. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). But I want to consider Adam Wainwrights Hall of Fame case as a purely statistical candidate based on the statistics we currently have. The contact rate against him on pitches in the strike zone last season 91 percent was the highest against him during his 17-season MLB career. Let's take a look at Flaherty. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. And hes no slouch in the regular season Bumgarner is a four-time All-Star with a sub-3.00 career ERA, a high career strikeout rate, and hes even connected for 16 home runs at the plate. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. But I just want to know how far back I would have to dig to find an age-40 season in which a pitcher was good enough to get Adam Wainwright to this level of Hall of Fame worthiness. Sales efficiency numbers are superb he has a 2.99 career ERA, a 1.054 WHIP, a 4.96 K:BB ratio, and hes working on five straight All-Star trips. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. Prices highlights include a 2012 Cy Young award, two ERA titles, and five 200-strikeout seasons. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. . Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day, The 2022 St. Louis Cardinals and the next generational passage St. Louis Bullpen. After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. No harm. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. Hes racked up four seasons worth 67 WAR, plus a fifth at 5.7 and a sixth at 4.9; to improve that peak score substantially, he needs big seasons. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Sabermetrics lover. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? Hell need more to get his name in the HOF conversation, namely multiple Cy Young award victories and a pivotal role in a Boston World Series championship. . However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. Nelson Cruz, right field (42.2 career | 30.1 Peak | 36.1 JAWS, +1.3 JAWS). At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. Adam Wainwrights hybrid JAWS of 41.6 is a fair amount behind that of Dwight Gooden, and closing a 6.4 point gap is going to be a tall order. For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. It was almost a storybook season for the St. Louis Cardinals as club legends Adam Wainwright, Albert Pujols, and Yadier Molina were reunited and looked primed for a deep postseason run. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. The oldest and wisest twin. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. Perhaps a new metric will be devised that paints Wainwright in an extraordinary new lightI cant really imagine what said metric would be, but Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day on which meaningful baseball games werent even played, so I am not going to dismiss the possibility hastily. Injury? After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Kimbrel has an option for next year, which I think is likely to be exercised, so he wont be a free agent until 2023. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. Hes certainly on pace for the Hall, but a lot of it will depend on how he can rebound following his off-the-field motorcycle accident. But the Cardinals and the pitcher Cardinals changed the schedule for his first start; Flaherty threw on the backfields instead. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. The performance was unsurprisingly unsustainable. But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. Godspeed, Waino. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. David Price is older than he seems; hes already 32 in a few months with just 122 career wins. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . . Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. But at least it wont be historically egregious. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Please contact us. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. Enter your email address to get a new one. I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Velocity? Ive lost track. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. During the 2022 regular season, 'Waino' finished with a record of 11-12 and 3.71 ERA in 191.2 innings, while also racking up 143 strikeouts. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. And while deGromcontinued to blast 100-mph fastball after 100-mph fastball past hitterseven while missing turns here and there due to what were believed (by the Mets, at least) to be minor and disconnected injuries, he finally landed on the IL in early July with forearm inflammation. Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Ad Choices Decade-plus Eagles writer. Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. . Always ranking QBs. He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? Jos Ramirez, third base (32.8 career | 31.5 Peak | 32.1 JAWS, +4.0 JAWS). Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame. His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. The key number regarding Gooden is 48.0, which is the average of his career bWAR, his bWAR7, his career fWAR, and his fWAR7. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. For a five-year span from 2007-2011, CC Sabathia was regarded as one of the elite pitchers in the game, and he took three different teams to the postseason, winning a ring with the 2009 Yankees. . Enter your email below and we'll send you another email. For the last 35 years Bernie Miklasz has entertained, enlightened, and connected with generations of St. Louis sports fans. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. This may not seem particularly grandiose, and probably not even close to Cooperstown worthiness, but it should be noted that with sixty-five elected, starting pitcher is far and away the most commonly enshrined position in the Hall (it has also, pre-bullpen expansion, been the most common position, so this shouldnt be too surprising). This doesnt mean that Wainwright definitely deserves to make itTim Hudson, who barely qualified for a second turn on the BBWAA ballot and didnt receive the 5% of votes needed to qualify for a third, ranks ahead of him, for instance. Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukees Luis Urias in the fourth inning. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. 34. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. Wainwright was between 38 and 40 years old in this stretch. Wainwright could become the sixth to add the Hall of Fame to their resume. Be the first one to comment on this story. All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. None. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. 76-43, 3.18 ERA, 1,183 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. The veteran right-hander is the last remaining . FASTBALLS JET ACROSS the baseball atmosphere in this era, booming into catchers' mitts at 100 mph or faster, and amid that sound of speed, there is Adam Wainwright's curveball. How much more does Wainwright need to do to make the Hall of Fame in your eyes? He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. He entered Thursday 16-7 on. Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does. Focusing on what hes better at: Scherzer is just 19 strikeouts away from 3,000 and should reach the milestone this month, surpassing the likes of Juan Marichal, Roy Halladay, and Bob Feller on the JAWS leaderboard. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July.